Abstract
Sustainable regional economic growth is a complex multi-factor process that requires an in-depth analysis of the causal relationships among economic indicators. This study evaluates the impact of meso-level indicators such as investment flows, industrial output, employment, export–import volumes, inflation, and digital economy indicators on economic growth using ARDL, VAR, and VECM models. Under Uzbekistan’s “Green Economy” and “Digital Transformation – 2030” strategies, mathematical modeling of regional economic growth plays a crucial role in shaping government policy. The results highlight the short-term and long-term determinants of economic growth, the degree of sensitivity to shocks, and opportunities to enhance the effectiveness of economic decision-making.
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